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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2023-11-24T10:12:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2023-11-24T10:12Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/27863/-1
CME Note: This CME is faintly seen to the SW in SOHO LASCO C2, C3, and STEREO A COR2 imagery. The source is an M1.1 class flare from AR13499 (S18W02) peaking at 2023-11-24T09:33Z, with moving/opening field lines seen to the SW of the active region. There is no evidence of arrival in real time solar wind timelines at L1.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-11-27T00:22Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 45.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.66667 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: 27.33 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2023-11-25T21:02Z

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